Game Theory can be used to explain the inherent bias in some games that are presented as fair. The Skin Game, a card game where 2 players present cards and are rewarded based on the resulting cards, is inherently biased towards Player 1 and this bias can be shown with a payoff matrix. In the Skin Game, each player is given an ace of diamonds and an ace of clubs, Player 1 is given a 2 of diamonds and Player 2 is given a 2 of clubs. Both players select one card to show without knowing the opponents choice and the cards are then compared. Player 1 wins if the suits match, Player 2 wins if the suits don’t match and if both players present the 2’s, the payoff is zero for both. The below payoff matrix describes the Skin Game.
P1/P2 | AD | AC | 2C |
AD | +1, -1 | -1, +1 | -1, +1 |
AC | -1, +1 | +1, -1 | +1, -1 |
2D | +1, -1 | -1, +1 | 0, 0 |
Based on the above payoff matrix, we can see that Player 1 is advantaged if they never choose the ace of diamonds, while choosing the ace of clubs 60% of the time and the 2 of diamonds 40% of the time to remain random. With this setup Player 1 can expect to win 0.2 points per round. This simple game clearly has a strategy that can help a knowledgeable player make money. Games like these are used all over the world to make money from unsuspecting players, so learning Game Theory can help save you money.
Resources:
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/what-is-game-theory-and-w/